Melachim Alef 14:15

15 For Hashem shall strike Yisroel, just as the kaneh (reed), is shaken in the mayim, and He shall uproot Yisroel out of this adamah hatovah, which He gave to Avoteihem, and shall scatter them beyond the Nahar (River, i.e., the Euphrates) because they have made their Ashera idols, provoking Hashem to anger.

Melachim Alef 14:15 Meaning and Commentary

1 Kings 14:15

And the Lord shall smite Israel as a reed is shaken in the
water
Either by the wind or by the stream; and may signify the fluctuating and uncertain condition Israel should be in future reigns, through civil wars, and the translation of the kingdom into different families; so that there was continually disquietude and uneasiness, and no settled peace and tranquillity:

and he shall root up Israel out this good land he gave to their
fathers;
which was brought about, first by Tiglathpileser, and then by Shalmaneser, kings of Assyria, that carried them captives from hence:

and shall scatter them beyond the river;
the river Euphrates, as the Targum: or, as others, the river Gozan, ( 2 Kings 17:6 )

because they have made their groves, provoking the Lord to anger:
in which groves they placed idols, and worshipped them, which was highly provoking to the Lord, and the cause of their dispersion.

Melachim Alef 14:15 In-Context

13 And kol Yisroel shall mourn for him, and bury him; for he only of Yarov‘am shall come to the kever (grave), because in him there is found some davar tov (good thing) toward Hashem Elohei Yisroel in the Bais Yarov‘am.

14 Moreover Hashem shall raise Him up a Melech over Yisroel, who shall cut off the Bais Yarov‘am even this day. This is the day! [See 1Kgs 15:27-29.] Even now.

15 For Hashem shall strike Yisroel, just as the kaneh (reed), is shaken in the mayim, and He shall uproot Yisroel out of this adamah hatovah, which He gave to Avoteihem, and shall scatter them beyond the Nahar (River, i.e., the Euphrates) because they have made their Ashera idols, provoking Hashem to anger.

16 And He shall give up Yisroel because of the chattot Yarov‘am, who did sin, and who made Yisroel to sin.

17 And eshet Yarov’am arose, and departed, and came to Tirtzah; and when she came to the saf HaBayit (the treshold of the house), the na’ar died.